Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 2:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 2:12:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
17% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 338.04
Unexplained QUAI: 1,661.7
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
12
24.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
60
Asset volume
1,999.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x00605e1b880C9170f816cC555136a408c3A513Bd.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 2000 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x00605e1b880C9170f816cC555136a408c3A513Bd.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 2:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (83% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (17%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
338.04 QUAI across 12 visible rows
0x00605e1b880C9170f816cC555136a408c3A513Bd
Net receiver
Unknown type
89.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Net receiver
Unknown type
85.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
Net receiver
Unknown type
25.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,999.74 QUAI • 60 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:12:06 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:11:13 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:13:13 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:10:13 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate47 tx
3,817.6 QUAI • 55 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:14:06 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1.01 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:09:13 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
1,483.12 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:15:13 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:08:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
89.73 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00605e1b880C9170f816cC555136a408c3A513Bd
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
8.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004Cf7db2017092839fFe86C87F74a2161E14b46
Tx: 0x0003006c4780a3359b2896d017032c139e675c10e4e3efd8e40ec3a97cd2d513
25.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
Tx: 0x0035000bc76e64ffe07ae0f9864a692dc40be10df8d227084236734b3e2895b7
89.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00605e1b880C9170f816cC555136a408c3A513Bd
Tx: 0x000d002e417cb300d386bbffb0e8a275686374642e6aaec2542e9549759f0ab0
4.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000BfEC899D392975cAc517fd5Ef1849aEb2703A
Tx: 0x00300003e5ab4629bef1aed9694fa5f5c97f95f8d2a280f5cbc20abc85b46ae1
22.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
Tx: 0x001a00397aa2ad4adfe25fdeb03f48d12190c0fba482fa6b27aefdc3c93af44d
7.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
Tx: 0x00740050107d63698f7f78882c103c940e6cb46c6d4626ea760d70917ef22603
49.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
Tx: 0x005e00073e1acf573eb73a3d82559483f068bcff7052043d3264e883e9e4e413
6.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007600F1d2F1aeec5f127a5c8f512dAc28A2f249
Tx: 0x00590078bfc9e4fdd43aac7cdf2a3cf17ebfe9080160354813371b8e88add8eb
5.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004e7d2DF5EB2b94e05f7b778ca08a7FedbC425A
Tx: 0x0001004c0f5aa884a5cf93aaf2e6474638c145b7db277b19bcb266a0b5ffe3c0
22.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Tx: 0x00650039af784059dc66ca6d2e3952e07db9869529702e1e4981b2602e132bdf
9.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
Tx: 0x003c0024b6c2501d42b7566ca9f7cc1288cdc784da69ccfb0cf172cb924ca05e
85.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Tx: 0x0072006103dc81f6c05f18ff86db971fd23cfc4a55c313f9e15a96949cbbd339