Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 1:44:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 1:44:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 1:45:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,003,660.32
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 1:44:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
3,999,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,999,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
3,611.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,611.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021F1392dc9edb79DeE82b8C89835AA476b62Cd
Net sender
Unknown type
49.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 3,999,996 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:44:13 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
1.01 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:43:13 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
4,003,660.32 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:45:14 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
56.95 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:42:13 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0.75 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:41:13 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
3,660.78 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:47:13 P.M.
-4 min
10 tx
172.2 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:40:13 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:48:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,999,996 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:44:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
0.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:44:58 P.M.
From: 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x000a0061aa1865de4f4c6b3b4340e193eae3ca3c5ee5472451ac723936154611
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:44:44 P.M.
From: 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
To: 0x000bC139B8b8DaAB96e0e1804d349492e40c7073
Tx: 0x001500201b801feae847b88e59587f6f85bcc1dbd43a79d69294b14c1a222248
49.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:44:37 P.M.
From: 0x0021F1392dc9edb79DeE82b8C89835AA476b62Cd
To: 0x006512eB83c94b16368C10c96a45707518098342
Tx: 0x004e00576fdf687dc66e6ba9df058955e92448710d43d2854b3b1ca3c61e85bc
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:44:23 P.M.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x002e00390134a07f48ed7d3db0c4c25e8acc732a48efdde3e7c6bf7797bd1925
3,611.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:44:23 P.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Tx: 0x0069002ab41d8a1566f9f64dbb2bfab7e60e2248988ec309bf336710fbd41dee
3,999,996 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:44:23 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06
Tx: 0x004600643f36a4c3a1ecec89117029c59df34fc22d516cd0307afb15e6aae94d