Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 1:42:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 1:42:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 1:43:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
2% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1.01
Unexplained QUAI: 55.94
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
75x previous minute
56x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
56.95 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0042E019F7ffC1af109C207672De265092A11464 • 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 57 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0042E019F7ffC1af109C207672De265092A11464 • 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50.
0x0042E019F7ffC1af109C207672De265092A11464 -> 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 1:42:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0042E019F7ffC1af109C207672De265092A11464
Net sender
Unknown type
1.01 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
Net receiver
Unknown type
1.01 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
0 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0042E019F7ffC1af109C207672De265092A11464 → 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
2 repeated flows • 1.01 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
56.95 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:42:13 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0.75 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:41:13 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
1.01 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:43:13 P.M.
-2 min
10 tx
172.2 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:40:13 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:44:13 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:39:13 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
4,003,660.32 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:45:14 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
22,550.91 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:38:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:42:28 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0042E019F7ffC1af109C207672De265092A11464
To: 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
0 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:42:38 P.M.
From: 0x0042E019F7ffC1af109C207672De265092A11464
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x0004007923210978447a79d65feebb6c15a84ffe658ff968f18338752d5ea645
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:42:28 P.M.
From: 0x0042E019F7ffC1af109C207672De265092A11464
To: 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
Tx: 0x00580016a6f051d179310dc9bc39c92fc48ffdfc13371a478cdb68ef19b13a05
0 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:42:28 P.M.
From: 0x0042E019F7ffC1af109C207672De265092A11464
To: 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
Tx: 0x0035004f24ce51cc33bcb9f08186ea8ac30e0d2634cd81ee652e056283cb4bb4