Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 1:39:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 1:39:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 1:40:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 172.2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004Dbf5f87aC389B84A8D48C97897C303B9C16de • 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004Dbf5f87aC389B84A8D48C97897C303B9C16de • 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 1:39:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004Dbf5f87aC389B84A8D48C97897C303B9C16de
Net sender
Unknown type
98.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C
Net receiver
Unknown type
98.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
71.5 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
16.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
Net sender
Unknown type
15.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:39:13 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
22,550.91 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:38:13 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
172.2 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:40:13 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
5,901.97 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:37:13 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0.75 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:41:13 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:36:13 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
56.95 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:42:13 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:35:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
98.68 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:39:23 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004Dbf5f87aC389B84A8D48C97897C303B9C16de
To: 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
15.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:39:47 P.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0040004e6cd477008959d4660943592361c0d9afc9b8b12fd15b0a8cf5128703
6.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:39:47 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00100077fbc08018d4d5881b95b89b2d2daa2c487bea6ae81bd914a2c6166f4d
16.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:39:47 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007f00481f4f9e4bfadea562bbd0cf5be0ecb1e9cf8a888703f5c230beb167ab
7.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:39:47 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005c0078e79b0a134f9e454eee8730a987b24a52a27a794749dff39324de43bf
98.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:39:23 P.M.
From: 0x004Dbf5f87aC389B84A8D48C97897C303B9C16de
To: 0x0064D02DEc805339010ac17f76Fe8d34020f1B9C
Tx: 0x0003002a83b88fbc2c292c832f3d9e362fe2ee3a85eddcd2407628d139ba5c5a
11.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:39:23 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000600267341fd5a433aa631e0d138acb757a38fb1c2bec227a03c39ae57979b
5.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:39:21 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0050002ed4a7a66ad980a8dae3e062674fd921ece818b80f5f821ba7d1c8d752
8.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:39:21 P.M.
From: 0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005d004def0af83303274bf4839bb5f5351f8b8ef730d8becab70068215f097d
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:39:11 P.M.
From: 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
To: 0x0042E019F7ffC1af109C207672De265092A11464
Tx: 0x00030077942c9a11cbc7428ed8b2566ce685899dc807e0c997728afdf087cbd1
0.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:39:11 P.M.
From: 0x0037ABB5f5F0D1a2dd32e033f3985E46F7e2cA50
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x000600476bca1640d7c08d584f9475e2a9b7acedd7b2112a31d4e0f88fe7f6d6