Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 1:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 1:37:00 P.M. to 07/21/2026, 1:38:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,550.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
5,901.97 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5902 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 1:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,100.91 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
14,999.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Net sender
Unknown type
3,611.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net sender
Unknown type
2,280.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
1,450 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,100.91 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
5,901.97 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:37:13 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:36:13 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
22,550.91 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:38:13 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:35:13 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:39:13 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
15,411.35 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:34:13 P.M.
+3 min
10 tx
172.2 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:40:13 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 1:33:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,999.75 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:37:42 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
14,999.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:37:42 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0019001ce75742a6b533b8029add3002811962392824e7f4f3f92ff87603e01a
2,280.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:37:42 P.M.
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007000169f15b64a5bfa5f6858d695ba4aa1bd6785b1be38b15d5071a48f04c1
209.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:37:42 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0049004cc6d103e8a64849bb4dfd780a183c54fcb4679bb87dea6f9b0c8fff18
3,611.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:37:42 P.M.
From: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0078002d456182cb7173b7d32c6db3fee68f3cdb2621b3a92d06fb9c72676570
1,450 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:37:31 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x004150bb7F39756BE914eAb4Ad7DD9001a7480f5
Tx: 0x005900668f16feebb8b41d961b2bcfaa7581b690317026b4e87933f0d39a517b