Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 11:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 11:14:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 11:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 479.55
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
479.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000339034166C508246186291BDA3Ec86362Cc8D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 480 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000339034166C508246186291BDA3Ec86362Cc8D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 11:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
479.55 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000339034166C508246186291BDA3Ec86362Cc8D
Net sender
Unknown type
272.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
Net sender
Unknown type
104.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d41f12BDC966B133AbDe47Ac1d733Cbbcaf10
Net sender
Unknown type
102.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 479.55 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
42 tx
2,882.48 QUAI • 49 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:13:56 A.M.
-1 min
51 tx
1,141.87 QUAI • 63 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:12:57 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
479.55 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:15:02 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:12:04 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
7,015.61 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:16:02 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
7,015.91 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:11:04 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:17:04 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
3,688.58 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/21/2026, 11:10:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
272.76 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:14:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000339034166C508246186291BDA3Ec86362Cc8D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
272.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:14:17 A.M.
From: 0x000339034166C508246186291BDA3Ec86362Cc8D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065004739f5926cb476b0384233643e76d67b7ebb53e5082612328a595e0f62
104.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:14:17 A.M.
From: 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d007c4bbe144bd4b2a124ec23b13c93af9898e7c414502a2dc2c60b5c8008
102.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 11:14:17 A.M.
From: 0x000d41f12BDC966B133AbDe47Ac1d733Cbbcaf10
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003100274386e609ea64c02e9e2e7749e5bcf5907876abd97a670f945040bd1e