Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 10:25:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 10:25:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 10:26:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
0% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2
Unexplained QUAI: 426.24
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
5.4x above local average
4.4x previous minute
214x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
428.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 428 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 10:25:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
428.24 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:25:04 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
97 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:24:04 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:26:04 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:23:04 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:27:04 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:22:04 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:28:04 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
106.21 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 10:21:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 10:25:34 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 10:25:34 A.M.
From: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0008005235e6f8181a9cb2e7f940ca8596bef062025360f59cd9597cfe13891c
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 10:25:32 A.M.
From: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
To: 0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
Tx: 0x004c0016d63aa3b4aa594cebbd0db5b482852e8623f385fa96788ac4a9ce118e