Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 8:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 8:14:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 8:15:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
46% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,053.92
Unexplained QUAI: 2,428.05
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
4.8x above local average
5.2x previous minute
2.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
47
Observable rows
8
17.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
56
Asset volume
4,481.97 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 4482 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 8:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (46%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,053.92 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,013.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005006FcfF9948c95D23Add60242B06CcDE65ADE
Net sender
Unknown type
278.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
Net sender
Unknown type
181.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005ad112DE8105AB7783225CA2c5A912aAc48381
Net sender
Unknown type
137.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,053.92 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate47 tx
4,481.97 QUAI • 56 addresses
07/21/2026, 8:14:04 A.M.
-1 min
50 tx
856.01 QUAI • 59 addresses
07/21/2026, 8:13:04 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
2,053.92 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/21/2026, 8:15:04 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/21/2026, 8:12:03 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 8:16:03 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 8:11:03 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
107 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 8:17:04 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 8:10:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,013.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 8:14:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
278.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 8:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x005006FcfF9948c95D23Add60242B06CcDE65ADE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00380077df01989cb117bc82dd140627835310a3c78621f5583553f7c4d3c09d
1,013.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 8:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d0023e96cde0d02e8e1606fd60f3a39d94ea0366fbe6acc52b021f97e9433
116.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 8:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0033004d41bb27d2ed7c4ad7c867d7468b65ad24202c382036c4c618e38ec4ee
104.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 8:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x00515189167FA8989c7E7930A3F2E464Db049fFc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c00477a16234efb0fcd5b46e8163e49cdc9793c6cd25d9d2006aec8bddbef
116.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 8:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f001df8f78561da88b9ad121710f5654fb2ba2317d9aa59f8499a882aa724
106.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 8:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000800646c387592319c3565d1a6dba7621cc7c0afa44ae99d17ac9e06b25427
137.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 8:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x005ad112DE8105AB7783225CA2c5A912aAc48381
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0042004e851d8a76bd0db29b2eb37dd5d707e5927f8d111c4da91f3be3daf732
181.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 8:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017006077637a9b5b6d0ce5b0de148f659b278ae101deda1c26316da8b5f741