Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 6:46:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 6:46:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 6:47:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
15% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 90
Unexplained QUAI: 515.8
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
6.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
605.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 606 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 6:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
90 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net receiver
Unknown type
90 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 90 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
605.8 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:46:03 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
61,778.49 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:45:03 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
90 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:47:03 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:44:03 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
13,982.98 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:48:03 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:43:03 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
19,999.1 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:49:03 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
7,686.45 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:42:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
90 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:46:45 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
90 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:46:45 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Tx: 0x0050001ef827d276867a36d3c72449114e2263ed459698704be512037cb97e42