Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 6:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 6:33:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 6:34:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
99% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,528.34
Unexplained QUAI: 212.41
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
20,740.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20741 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 6:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
20,528.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,212.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,316.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 20,528.34 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
20,740.74 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:33:03 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
13,140.32 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:32:03 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
20,528.34 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:34:03 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
32,621.68 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:31:03 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:35:03 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
32,915.16 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:30:04 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate15 tx
57,905.87 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:36:04 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
54,839.01 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:29:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,212.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:33:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
6,316.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:33:07 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Tx: 0x002000391fca9cc6b97d039d459b1502cdb18e210d8bda0959fb5339cf293464
14,212.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:33:07 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Tx: 0x001800685045e140e6ae3f62d5271922e51689f65793730244f90be0d3ddd943