Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 6:26:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 6:26:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 6:27:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 51,820.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
51,820.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 51820 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 6:26:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Net sender
Unknown type
18,679.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
18,679.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
12,491.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 13,141.25 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
37 tx
89,322.16 QUAI • 48 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:25:56 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:25:03 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
51,820.29 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:27:03 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
34,301.68 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:24:03 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
40,181.74 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:28:03 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
102,783.57 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:23:04 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
54,839.01 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:29:03 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
18,680.4 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:22:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:26:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
649.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:26:53 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x004a9c57Ad7D51926ea5293c3453f9Df9e45A305
Tx: 0x00130010babb942cd5d981f270cc09ebc8a2d657330290bd8151eb9a6707e311
19,999.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:26:53 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0072002895740d59fbafdc210fd1c93f65bfe8e4e48c5197d78dc38f06489cde
18,679.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:26:32 A.M.
From: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x000600550d7a6617d2dbd3da9d311576b05d8c625ab70a40a428607bc06b4b36
12,491.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:26:32 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
Tx: 0x0036003f3d0bb9b29531fae8ed77270101bb3cf5a9df41c0640bac8081a88e49