Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 6:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 6:21:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 6:22:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33,099.53
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 6:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
18,680.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Net receiver
Unknown type
18,680.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Net sender
Unknown type
14,419.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,419.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 18,680.4 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:21:03 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
10.56 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:20:03 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
18,680.4 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:22:03 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
48,182.71 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:19:03 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
102,783.57 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:23:04 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate6 tx
108,846.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:18:03 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
34,301.68 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:24:03 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,999.1 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 6:17:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
18,680.4 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:21:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
14,419.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:21:59 A.M.
From: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0064004c4ea337db8a26c2d0c09eb86eee5ee33bb583b06bb0d3fe882bbf7a4b
18,680.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 6:21:13 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Tx: 0x004a003ff1f14f835da16a678730e332dd7429dc04f12b190a9dd7961175ffe0