Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 3:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 3:04:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 3:05:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,930.72
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.6x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
7,930.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 7931 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 3:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
7,315.54 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,906.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004bF31105dDb4957562d8FF9ed07460215A20ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,409.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
615.18 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
Net receiver
Unknown type
563.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-2 min
2 tx
4,821.49 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:01:54 A.M.
-6 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:58:06 A.M.
-7 min
2 tx
1,115.89 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:56:54 A.M.
-7 min
2 tx
1,115.89 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:57:14 A.M.
+10 min
Best candidate104 tx
80,486.09 QUAI • 127 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:13:54 A.M.
-11 min
8 tx
8,095.89 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:53:18 A.M.
+11 min
50 tx
2,505.91 QUAI • 59 addresses
07/21/2026, 3:15:19 A.M.
-12 min
6 tx
10,326.25 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:52:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,906.04 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:04:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
563.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:04:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
Tx: 0x000a00170520253d5c2847d7a8a47cd09b7a5599803462e2fb5238fee6c28b56
2,409.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:04:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004bF31105dDb4957562d8FF9ed07460215A20ca
Tx: 0x007c004a6f57eb6564b1300f97721eaaac743c263afe0cad16929c92a3020daa
51.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007F78fD753543d3431B2375D03ADda5aAdb5E9b
Tx: 0x002f0033ab5c34a218df7724a86948b5f891240f6e0889538eb528d1cab329d6
4,906.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 3:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Tx: 0x006500767f9715760322246bad2aa95e6c34e986c6dfd2e325fd9e2c9bfe7ba7
