Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 2:53:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 305.18
Unexplained QUAI: 7,790.71
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 89% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.8x previous minute
7.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
2
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
8,095.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x006b3958187a1F8BFBD8858D3F5A17544bb1Ba16.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 8096 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x006b3958187a1F8BFBD8858D3F5A17544bb1Ba16.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
272.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006b3958187a1F8BFBD8858D3F5A17544bb1Ba16
Net receiver
Unknown type
272.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
32.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0063579f16F127cFCb0814f005f7caE7E7F54a44
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
8,095.89 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:53:18 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
10,326.25 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:52:13 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate31 tx
68,740.68 QUAI • 47 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:51:06 A.M.
-3 min
18 tx
21,996.44 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:50:09 A.M.
-3 min
18 tx
21,996.44 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:50:14 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,115.89 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:56:54 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,115.89 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:57:14 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
3,410.53 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:48:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
272.49 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:53:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006b3958187a1F8BFBD8858D3F5A17544bb1Ba16
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
272.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:53:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006b3958187a1F8BFBD8858D3F5A17544bb1Ba16
Tx: 0x000700444b1b831736f65f33603fac225dff80210d63887cdbb1999086074c24
32.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:53:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0063579f16F127cFCb0814f005f7caE7E7F54a44
Tx: 0x005a001cc065543446d8df9d73406383ba204da5dd4e32887790348950150943