Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 2:23:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,025.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
5.0x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
9,025.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 9026 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
8,208.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,208.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
726.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021DdD0c271B326D563EA12754E94c2A5107724
Net receiver
Unknown type
726.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
90.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
11 tx
1,805.57 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:21:31 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
8,449.25 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:20:42 A.M.
-3 min
20 tx
17,566.79 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:19:42 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
12,834.59 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:18:42 A.M.
-7 min
6 tx
6,191.16 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:15:34 A.M.
-9 min
6 tx
9,720.33 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:13:42 A.M.
+9 min
Best candidate63 tx
123,805.62 QUAI • 78 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:31:30 A.M.
-10 min
59 tx
42,029.34 QUAI • 69 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:12:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,208.82 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:23:24 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
8,208.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:23:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Tx: 0x00590050298ff6f66f59f812ba663fd6bbec80ece0002f2cdd4d90ead501439c
726.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:23:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0021DdD0c271B326D563EA12754E94c2A5107724
Tx: 0x0065001505047cabb211e259e1284c8b971fd7eb9c02b1ed1ceb1728e11f39c5
90.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:23:24 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004B0A585dbcCa99Bf6293233aB579E2610B86DD
Tx: 0x00490048eee7cab5d19fab9cd9c50e31240c2779ccbd6fba137fedf59f896172
