Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 2:21:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,800.95
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
13
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
1,805.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1806 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,741.71 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,167.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
825.75 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Net receiver
Unknown type
321.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020fE056a03c72c7F87ed27c760B30B80f64F09
Net receiver
Unknown type
251.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
8,449.25 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:20:42 A.M.
-1 min
20 tx
17,566.79 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:19:42 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
1,805.57 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:21:31 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
12,834.59 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:18:42 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
6,191.16 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:15:34 A.M.
-7 min
6 tx
9,720.33 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:13:42 A.M.
-8 min
Best candidate59 tx
42,029.34 QUAI • 69 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:12:34 A.M.
-9 min
15 tx
16,358.33 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,167.22 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:25 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
28.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:29 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0040EDcF696F9e0248b62444343dd1C872e151f1
Tx: 0x006a0020fd3c774dcddc75565f0b21a348ec8c4206b1b5d545e1cac78e248890
251.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0020fE056a03c72c7F87ed27c760B30B80f64F09
Tx: 0x001d006e1268b69a605a5479b0cbfe2a72e7b6cd8ad9782afe2cad69c5312e46
169.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:29 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001E7790F6107e17Ff7a8B44cB8DcB5329D894F0
Tx: 0x00110062c50bedc1f6cab51d51c877a9e0a8edf375700762217051d6cafa8f3b
1,167.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Tx: 0x000000260350674a688d8d6a9afc7f7221343b3824355864de9f47de6a40bf68
38.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:25 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003fE964a8F8937C230A0B674B7d52270B85138b
Tx: 0x001e003de3d8ed2fabc17a17359185b32461565caae9baddd53a26e743033576
100.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002039698813B45D9EF052686407d4AcdB346a38
Tx: 0x006c001d829e69ee95148b97f67efc3ce1d8937e79a4230a0206eaab1230dafe
28.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:20 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003d52F680f08272661A42C320831b54Ff1f21dd
Tx: 0x0076000ab651545dbda3c2d8618b3c38fd65a5a40a588dd2b1dc4795399ee93f
321.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Tx: 0x0023002bad13fce48faea5c79cfae119ac75a10a9db4d523d92c502d30ab6aba
165.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001d07ea41085F9eD9cd93c417BA372AbF1164DB
Tx: 0x00040054ee85cc8d8771691e5f8c3af05a97e5b8b02bb29f9aa4657d31074a3d
152 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001d8b0943407f32c6f543D890C3b2E2f805D40a
Tx: 0x001a000f2ef2e2c596f97566316c4cd36bb8c11f28d1e3e695b7c7a37b2e9d32
79.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:13 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Tx: 0x000c004509e35b2a120f76ef9be12d53d6c83a084aa0bcefcd9afebf65a82aec
239.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001Cd0f21f4c4bbE4eA9Ea30F508e15887E17720
Tx: 0x00320033fa55c564a1dd8df0638f174a1a614273425b46ec622809bebf0ad822
59.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:21:13 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362
Tx: 0x00180028925a90f18aa3819251cd0381a1dcefde8126ef872cb9c9a063390884
