Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 2:20:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
27% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,284.68
Unexplained QUAI: 6,164.57
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
10
83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
8,449.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 8449 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (73% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (27%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,010.11 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
744.84 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Net receiver
Unknown type
603.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
437.05 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Net receiver
Unknown type
413.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
20 tx
17,566.79 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:19:42 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
12,834.59 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:18:42 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
8,449.25 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:20:42 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
1,805.57 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:21:31 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
6,191.16 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:15:34 A.M.
-6 min
6 tx
9,720.33 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:13:42 A.M.
-7 min
Best candidate59 tx
42,029.34 QUAI • 69 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:12:34 A.M.
-8 min
15 tx
16,358.33 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
603.09 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:20:05 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
93.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:20:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001Cd0f21f4c4bbE4eA9Ea30F508e15887E17720
Tx: 0x000a0071a49e8155b08704445f2aa9c6c3806d0ad6c22c04e479477dbbbb1372
190.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:20:39 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003bA9cC15706b5b85A1490B44bCCdd94b6e1CF7
Tx: 0x006200637a03a3f02484babe29570555510164c10769cae7f6371b87498727d1
383.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:20:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001C7D0B0d2d77c169427df878DC30fcAAE55E4F
Tx: 0x002f0015a7dec4297c5a585effe8cb4bd074d5cab823cc9c81b2dac1f6231709
92.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:20:39 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x006cB28321C1b5c76aE871E09361E65Ab3C3415E
Tx: 0x0001006db157b4a9f06b8454d3b902391af369478ac0d9ea10e2f6bce391d4ce
23.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:20:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001aA242417ef94781277cEa5548D807b455223a
Tx: 0x000b001e1b445638e5c036133db6dcfcef48a0ee52b472f908191cd146afcb9f
83.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:20:08 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003Ae0bBb0BA9B92C0C6f21C68f34a30D0122402
Tx: 0x00490021d6e25532b3b6672ad360819a0fcb6308895d81a4572765e1190b0479
413.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:20:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x0029006a5497ecb2c12910e0b79710c73a445d07037eb11e366a0d82c8316561
237.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:20:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x00260043a9ed7917849439a143c0f08a87c30347b4c60990d522d5f133d9dcce
603.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:20:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Tx: 0x0024000602f6b7ec57ff6ce4f086cf4331c382910bfd4091ca88cb592abefc26
163.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:20:05 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x00360019883a3082232cab6300c6b6012a81e5b97a9e968c26e2bca3b1238019