Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 2:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 2:10:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 846.48
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
317.5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00001F89242De86f43840E10678c0e36CcF7E590.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 318 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00001F89242De86f43840E10678c0e36CcF7E590.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 2:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
481.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00001F89242De86f43840E10678c0e36CcF7E590
Net receiver
Unknown type
481.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
289.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000241bE7EB39d033f74629F31967280D3C4A383
Net receiver
Unknown type
289.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
75.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2.69 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:09:42 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:08:42 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
317.5 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:10:42 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
19,999.06 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:07:34 A.M.
+2 min
15 tx
16,358.33 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
33,329.39 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:06:42 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate59 tx
42,029.34 QUAI • 69 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:12:34 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
35,257.3 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:05:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
481.52 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:10:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00001F89242De86f43840E10678c0e36CcF7E590
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
289.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:10:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000241bE7EB39d033f74629F31967280D3C4A383
Tx: 0x002900346af90c8fee44439759a9f9483f01b8fb5104c746020f0f8c6b25b509
75.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:10:45 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0007e50f4B60Eef204c5954B61d6256A8cF8be9C
Tx: 0x003400092f6892123d824aacb497330517ee2ea44bfb48e62fba31dbd9c2780a
481.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 2:10:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00001F89242De86f43840E10678c0e36CcF7E590
Tx: 0x005500084d023081463f00d88013aa95a9d309b3945b35be7b450cfd922090ba