Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 1:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 1:57:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 1:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 74,330.22
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
5.6x above local average
0.7x previous minute
5.3x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
74,330.22 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 74330 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 1:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
39,017.33 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Balanced
Unknown type
32,010.08 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf
Net sender
Unknown type
20,055.15 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0074eFe24EC0e9c50fC62da6f20fbA0A02Be4a67
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
15,257.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 39,017.33 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+4 min
2 tx
13,996.97 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:01:13 A.M.
+6 min
1 tx
3,718.63 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:02:42 A.M.
+7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:03:42 A.M.
+8 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:04:42 A.M.
+9 min
Best candidate2 tx
35,257.3 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:05:34 A.M.
+10 min
1 tx
33,329.39 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:06:42 A.M.
+11 min
1 tx
19,999.06 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:07:34 A.M.
+12 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 2:08:42 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
20,000 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:57:05 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf
To: 0x0074eFe24EC0e9c50fC62da6f20fbA0A02Be4a67
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
14,999.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:57:05 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00140024ad09de4d83a759187e539fd1f610ad92cce9b3c838cce5116ed58cb5
7,265.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:57:05 A.M.
From: 0x0076421eE82DB9a1E83c188694de62CA69E414e7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c00582474c7a2a143c9ab7a733e3bd250feeb3059d574e5feaa3567110406
16,752.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:57:05 A.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c0037a3e8930af13f6a95d2243864ad5a58ca6b12075199c4e02225cbfd9a
15,257.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:57:05 A.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Tx: 0x00400018d2cd9c377687675e12421fa01c7a2959ee94ff2c19d0840b9599ee2a
20,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:57:05 A.M.
From: 0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf
To: 0x0074eFe24EC0e9c50fC62da6f20fbA0A02Be4a67
Tx: 0x001c00416f7896070a3bb5013c0f9f4fe6233ccad1c3da657fb0ed3edc67c0e6
55.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 1:57:05 A.M.
From: 0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x00000045286acf259da7b9bb8ff292919959d8b38011e4c4c638a3c11cf7c27d