Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 12:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 12:50:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 12:51:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,257.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
6.3x above local average
1.2x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
17,257.7 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 17258 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 12:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
9,508.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,508.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net sender
Unknown type
7,749.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,749.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 9,508.65 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-2 min
Best candidate1 tx
15,000 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:48:25 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:53:24 A.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:55:25 A.M.
-9 min
2 tx
14.96 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:40:31 A.M.
-9 min
1 tx
7,063.11 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:41:25 A.M.
-10 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:39:31 A.M.
-11 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:38:31 A.M.
-12 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:37:31 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,508.65 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:50:06 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
9,508.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:50:06 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Tx: 0x007c00319ab2bc932987646399419cbc23f5d1ac58f239844f176412db0f5553
7,749.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:50:06 A.M.
From: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x005a0067ab9fe4dfab88c728662a52099b5dd79c76995be812572ed2f7335b4f