Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 12:34:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 12:34:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 12:35:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 38,074.36
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
17,056.22 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 17056 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 12:34:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
37,054.36 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
14,999.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c3fb6069Db2f8Ae8f5418D0bA5d7C03dB05D0
Balanced
Unknown type
2,039.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,036 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 37,054.36 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:33:31 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:32:31 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
17,056.22 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:34:30 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:31:32 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
37,054.36 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:35:35 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
26.44 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:30:31 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:29:30 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:37:31 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.82 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:34:58 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1,036 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:34:58 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0075000960e33c7247c01efbc9c10f0ada3c84377c885e27d1b2db5da75d1b60
1,019.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:34:58 A.M.
From: 0x004c3fb6069Db2f8Ae8f5418D0bA5d7C03dB05D0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0025005d66abcce31a4bafdc71a21f0200f145dceb25fc4e74ad8301e8f69cd4
14,999.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:34:58 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f001bb7958bd90b353df09307f57435e9212cbf9a600bfe1ecffe0089c592
19,998.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:34:58 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d002c1926d1257cad20d8b65feeb70c039a89d886d7a8e4f996ae80aaa111
1,020 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:34:18 A.M.
From: 0x003D73Bc82C8101c9d37Ea50b19F8fFcDdbfA3fb
To: 0x004c3fb6069Db2f8Ae8f5418D0bA5d7C03dB05D0
Tx: 0x0036007fe629e6ace78a9287ca5e6d7f241f12e3b7cc0885e6012bb4a9738dd6