Spike bucket
07/21/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/21/2026, 12:14:00 A.M. to 07/21/2026, 12:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 31,019.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
31,019.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 31019 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/21/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
9,380.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,380.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
1,639.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
121 tx
79,791.42 QUAI • 153 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:13:56 A.M.
+2 min
27 tx
114,241.03 QUAI • 54 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:15:35 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate15 tx
156,368.3 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:16:36 A.M.
+3 min
104 tx
81,211.33 QUAI • 125 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:17:26 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
43,767.92 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:18:25 A.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:19:25 A.M.
+6 min
1 tx
56.38 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:20:25 A.M.
+7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/21/2026, 12:21:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.04 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:14:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
19,999.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:14:18 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0053006c4b37458db9fdc137662a2b7ebbd6dda7cc3ed2740ca234f4ceb45301
9,380.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:14:18 A.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Tx: 0x0036002ddbc596cfd47ff0685baab50e9ee990dd3516971fc68748b8ca0d360d
1,639.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/21/2026, 12:14:18 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Tx: 0x006000527824b37accbb6676ecdaef9fbf3780e3b48deed07d8343d081163734