Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 11:03:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 11:04:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23,602.47
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
23,602.47 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771
Net sender
Unknown type
9,781.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0016C547CE6bcc6AD621292aaFceC8c037a60e69
Net sender
Unknown type
7,453.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0
Net sender
Unknown type
2,665.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067D619d2508ba5Ad8e1e64CA721a79D433cC5E
Net sender
Unknown type
2,101.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 23,602.47 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:03:44 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2,475.6 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:00:44 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
19,998.79 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:05:51 P.M.
-6 min
Best candidate10 tx
117,848.84 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 10:56:51 P.M.
-13 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/20/2026, 10:49:49 P.M.
-14 min
1 tx
2.44 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 10:48:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,781.67 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
7,453.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
From: 0x0016C547CE6bcc6AD621292aaFceC8c037a60e69
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020006b37f3e8434b8c260c43cb5aab963fa9abd2d86f93a4902db143b1440b
1,600.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
From: 0x001Ca6E57B29399995673dEa29ecCCa67FA006eB
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0036000e8be9bc9a032239dea34fab03f71f05ce98312c33923508c13f79f3df
2,101.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
From: 0x0067D619d2508ba5Ad8e1e64CA721a79D433cC5E
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d0046bcf10b6586942ba6ea3b70b3f27c0b0a90a432cbec0057be229c2c3d
2,665.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
From: 0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018004dfdfc5b59225bd2f72b684889997a745b0b4544517f118f175ecc65e9
9,781.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
From: 0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d00520333d88f3c575500a43fab735b5e75ac9d1c49afe9b0d7ead3114268