Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 10:56:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 10:56:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 10:57:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 137,847.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 16% of explained volume
Relative context
5.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
117,848.84 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 117849 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 56
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 10:56:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
111,100.01 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Balanced
Unknown type
39,997.82 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
22,299.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 111,100.01 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
Best candidate10 tx
117,848.84 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 10:56:51 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
2,475.6 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:00:44 P.M.
-6 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/20/2026, 10:49:49 P.M.
-7 min
1 tx
2.44 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 10:48:50 P.M.
-8 min
23 tx
33,101.16 QUAI • 38 addresses
07/20/2026, 10:47:44 P.M.
+8 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:03:44 P.M.
+10 min
1 tx
19,998.79 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 11:05:51 P.M.
-11 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 10:44:44 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
22,299.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:56:24 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
19,999.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:56:48 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x005c007d64e01dae0bd54521928b3cfc7f9a70ce57b83dfc92a2d948d13ab7bf
19,999.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:56:24 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000f0059056d6d3acd5c6d45ec8c8326cfc22dc99078ea0457e12919dc333d5c
2,242.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:56:24 P.M.
From: 0x00401Ab3bB553EC24D9D6bE4dBB6d3BA20A9e680
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d006bf6de254d909dd902818166567be75fa69ec26b878aa13235e843e588
19,999.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:56:24 P.M.
From: 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0003002e12f261540c2c5f2e3ce3b61ddf4e1ba2ea22b17bed88f9570a9cc054
22,299.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:56:24 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c001122312da357f9c5cd403eb9b0f58406e57e9871a922424650be7e269d
19,999.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:56:24 P.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a00622335e76b0474f9bd559fb8abc8f6ef0534b8061c1acd1a02ba5111ca
19,998.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:56:24 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f0010107b4af53cc3b35b62d43e18bbd761dccf5294e8e62035f9b650401f
1,686.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:56:24 P.M.
From: 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00100026094b1fb7297709b0152fd67454dd2ce9178ae02eb8dbc9911262c43c
2,171.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:56:24 P.M.
From: 0x005321365b4D638f696F96Ea8de1d44843c1BA8f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0002006840a9773d0296287d1c598422f672bf1d6407f6eed00f8b5c068083fc
2,702.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:56:24 P.M.
From: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b007436d98866fa23bb23daea2d7278d54bce1d6dd9518d0f1035b950c88d
6,748.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 10:56:24 P.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Tx: 0x006300065130caea1bdd13bc9daf9104a0b6de8e187f1f14b85b9c60bfbb0d95
