Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 8:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 8:54:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 8:55:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 233.89
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
3.0x previous minute
3.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
233.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x00282a133409e72B9e278168e6e2074811A2e8D5.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 234 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x00282a133409e72B9e278168e6e2074811A2e8D5.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x00282a133409e72B9e278168e6e2074811A2e8D5 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 8:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
233.89 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00282a133409e72B9e278168e6e2074811A2e8D5
Net receiver
Unknown type
233.89 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x00282a133409e72B9e278168e6e2074811A2e8D5
3 repeated flows • 233.89 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
77.96 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:53:10 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:51:27 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:50:07 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:49:07 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
77.96 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:58:47 P.M.
-6 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:48:07 P.M.
-7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:47:05 P.M.
+7 min
1 tx
77.96 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 9:00:44 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
77.96 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:54:28 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00282a133409e72B9e278168e6e2074811A2e8D5
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
77.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:54:28 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00282a133409e72B9e278168e6e2074811A2e8D5
Tx: 0x00370062991b5d027c32a0fc957c235837446615bf07731a2f780fce03f4b4c4
77.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:54:28 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00282a133409e72B9e278168e6e2074811A2e8D5
Tx: 0x00050017ece7060618af97178decff57c8e217b2f4d0d5420c7ba0f79ab21881
77.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:54:18 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00282a133409e72B9e278168e6e2074811A2e8D5
Tx: 0x004100514a4c1e336c0d0a3c0a20e4756d09d01cfc4093c1a44ad8894e18c6f8