Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 8:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 8:15:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 8:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
4% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 966.14
Unexplained QUAI: 21,920.59
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
24x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
22,886.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 22887 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 8:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
966.14 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
459.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
389.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Net receiver
Unknown type
41.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
22,886.73 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:15:07 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
966.14 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:16:06 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:17:05 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:12:05 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:18:05 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,999 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:11:05 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:19:05 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
770.41 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:10:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
459.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:15:35 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
5.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:15:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x002f006ca5d0640328ec68ced3414ab91681dac826d0bc1532ce88d13a18b71e
8.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:15:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x00650009b4f988c438c3bb5a64f1f095c8e3011683ae7243379bf782f95b81f1
389.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:15:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0015006859dbca78aa410f2eff4b90a8200716f8ffe6b71d597b6fd47c712fba
50.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:15:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x0051007ea70e33e82e9cdf624c0228a3607f31546fcd9f82f9d8ed9af4c0682a
6.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:15:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x001000552dba885225d3d818efff6b108fe537d53478caa771552d308deb78df
4.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:15:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Tx: 0x00530031af271fb1e155d345079d9510f8fece8394d9fd455ea83cfe153b8dcb
459.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:15:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Tx: 0x00610056a86b7843f644f9d8cd15c53a4a8db80badd3edd5474a0c7c16c722e1
41.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:15:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x001e000d847e1a3c56963241209ee96a8c9d6ce5de1fef9b8abac38abbaad6c1