Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 8:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 8:06:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 8:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 187.2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
187.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x0002367E1Bf9b438cb30AcdB9B3018617b13fEeC.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 187 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x0002367E1Bf9b438cb30AcdB9B3018617b13fEeC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 8:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
187.2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0002367E1Bf9b438cb30AcdB9B3018617b13fEeC
Net receiver
Unknown type
93.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00216137028a4f9a469B6B5bAD214286DBeC7b67
Net receiver
Unknown type
93.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
2 tx
187.2 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:07:06 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:08:07 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:09:05 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
568.36 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:02:05 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
770.41 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:10:05 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate6 tx
20,485.2 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:01:05 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
19,999 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:11:05 P.M.
-6 min
6 tx
544.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:00:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
93.6 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0002367E1Bf9b438cb30AcdB9B3018617b13fEeC
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
93.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0002367E1Bf9b438cb30AcdB9B3018617b13fEeC
Tx: 0x001b004a26db61eb8aad1c53d16dc3b888806e9f2feee062be189ded71da316f
93.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00216137028a4f9a469B6B5bAD214286DBeC7b67
Tx: 0x00050034a0ead926405e9fb45937fa8c1acaa9260dec5a18c5ec2821da0ab236
