Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 8:01:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 8:01:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 8:02:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
3% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 665.6
Unexplained QUAI: 19,819.6
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
7.1x above local average
38x previous minute
36x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
20,485.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x006D81B3f262c8461a02b9467D456d91dF50A311.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 20485 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x006D81B3f262c8461a02b9467D456d91dF50A311.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 8:01:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
665.6 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x006D81B3f262c8461a02b9467D456d91dF50A311
Net receiver
Unknown type
97.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006075Fee33391a536e3e20fB56F6a8C7440Ec82
Net receiver
Unknown type
97.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a86F9408Edcc01Ff62Cae25d41E328058f9e8
Net receiver
Unknown type
96.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075C8622B0d9F475075bd5D79816e2A17B1904B
Net receiver
Unknown type
94.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
20,485.2 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:01:05 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
544.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:00:05 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
568.36 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:02:05 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
269.36 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:59:07 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
200.2 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:57:05 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
403.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:56:05 P.M.
-6 min
4 tx
353.6 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:55:05 P.M.
+6 min
2 tx
187.2 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:07:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
97.24 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:01:05 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x006D81B3f262c8461a02b9467D456d91dF50A311
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
93.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:01:36 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0016EEFc139291123aaB3B6AF9D17DBB125B4a40
Tx: 0x0063004250ad042a08046221e9b27b18636374abcc5830fcc573d82eeec2d931
93.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:01:34 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00310477013Ee29DeE8E320BBfB5a1533fA2D68e
Tx: 0x0010005da6d61ca9b5799f55b0821a73788ebfb489bf6857bbcdee0e1926ea4f
94.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:01:24 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0075C8622B0d9F475075bd5D79816e2A17B1904B
Tx: 0x0058002e35db30516dd9df0601cb32bba6e0e34b50600ab934c0b8900817d9a2
93.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:01:24 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x002ED6dB56774fA6d36eF77893a2d6662aFB2D2f
Tx: 0x001d004e3b76159e333cd9ec9333ab97e28e9bbeef729b0987d67e759a6d0254
97.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:01:05 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x006D81B3f262c8461a02b9467D456d91dF50A311
Tx: 0x00070070bf070ef619ff1f1c7808c569b36a32642cf16a329f5e432808173adb
96.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:01:05 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x005a86F9408Edcc01Ff62Cae25d41E328058f9e8
Tx: 0x006f005b49976e47310046da09b66a06dd186e827ec07a63cee431ba72d28210
97.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 8:01:00 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x006075Fee33391a536e3e20fB56F6a8C7440Ec82
Tx: 0x00380019837a186a85c9bf0ffc60f070becc00425e479fd63ab8c4f3e461d62c