Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 7:59:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 7:59:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 8:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 544.96
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 17% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.3x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
269.36 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x003580134A74745E3cbf2b71EEbab092E2994B9c.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 269 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x003580134A74745E3cbf2b71EEbab092E2994B9c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 7:59:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
544.96 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x003580134A74745E3cbf2b71EEbab092E2994B9c
Net receiver
Unknown type
91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00157a9882AFBcDF7AB7cd38bF6A6F0305155512
Net receiver
Unknown type
91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039d45E05Ab1a63A53d69F70Caf7FE65Fe74CA3
Net receiver
Unknown type
91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006C4F13963eEf2D584371af780aa0069523cf73
Net receiver
Unknown type
91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
269.36 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:59:07 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
544.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:00:05 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
200.2 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:57:05 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate6 tx
20,485.2 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:01:05 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
403.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:56:05 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
568.36 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 8:02:05 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
353.6 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:55:05 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
530.4 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:53:47 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
91 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:59:43 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x003580134A74745E3cbf2b71EEbab092E2994B9c
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:59:43 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x003580134A74745E3cbf2b71EEbab092E2994B9c
Tx: 0x00000046e2498c27f3e7b37c2d42de8e26489e0e3fe10565bd1ecf9c54c8276c
90.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:59:07 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0042e27F143f3fCE5863e63BCc372304403efe9C
Tx: 0x00480053b07b5d3bedfe62cc9d8e52937b4e7c92afaeb69a5622f43b9afbc67e
90.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:59:07 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0004887868Dd681D04A9F90af0919A43CEdc22AA
Tx: 0x0028006ff35e81c3e6bc3b444f773f87ad24e76d765472f67b60e8685a641a8d
91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:59:07 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00157a9882AFBcDF7AB7cd38bF6A6F0305155512
Tx: 0x00130019a3b476a2f76120b8411253c75f11425567ba15f9963955e9f180276c
91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:59:07 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0039d45E05Ab1a63A53d69F70Caf7FE65Fe74CA3
Tx: 0x003f007cc88a11b4f0bfce7da24be02d1b7907bb6cfd274ac5ab88777a43078d
91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:59:07 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x006C4F13963eEf2D584371af780aa0069523cf73
Tx: 0x00260004d85954b5c33f5840197f3dac6d39367fea4bc607228f13809560ee90