Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 7:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 7:54:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 7:55:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 353.6
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.5x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
176.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x007104112bEC4846Af045271b53b4403E155583A.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 177 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x007104112bEC4846Af045271b53b4403E155583A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 7:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
353.6 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x007104112bEC4846Af045271b53b4403E155583A
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005d41B909F1253DA5a0C4EF140Bf1a40aD035df
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038C6F1cbac56709726775eF2eC356E8d6410AC
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006AD7578f389e4f2b30b14a5d156049B0a28406
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
530.4 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:53:47 P.M.
Selected minute
2 tx
176.8 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:54:05 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
353.6 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:55:05 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
353.6 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:52:05 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
403.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:56:05 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate7 tx
1,332.6 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:51:06 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
200.2 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:57:05 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
106.08 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:50:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
88.4 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:54:57 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x007104112bEC4846Af045271b53b4403E155583A
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:54:57 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x007104112bEC4846Af045271b53b4403E155583A
Tx: 0x007c007dab7e554a855daf20dc069ca66380070e019d4ed1af1068f32cfedf61
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:54:39 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x005d41B909F1253DA5a0C4EF140Bf1a40aD035df
Tx: 0x0007007dceb64bf216b8c979a5d5c24e4ae33a765a3ab98bea91bd38e10fbcb1
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:54:39 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0038C6F1cbac56709726775eF2eC356E8d6410AC
Tx: 0x007f0054f654b47bbb93f2624a4dceba7c3835a4e0425129eb7892343c8ec327
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:54:39 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x006AD7578f389e4f2b30b14a5d156049B0a28406
Tx: 0x005d000b55a898498d5d72d2baae2f573caad9ebb75c184828a70248fcf140a1
