Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 7:50:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 7:50:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 7:51:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,244.2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
106.08 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b • 0x0011A77cF0A806159CcfC8191969d0C83Ec4cD2c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 106 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b • 0x0011A77cF0A806159CcfC8191969d0C83Ec4cD2c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 7:50:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
Net sender
Unknown type
771 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0011A77cF0A806159CcfC8191969d0C83Ec4cD2c
Net receiver
Unknown type
771 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
473.2 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00224d9a5edDfB8c87b2d1CA9C1C20EDb7c2B0cC
Net receiver
Unknown type
104 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0005faa70693d30192b9021Fe8f4a7830BBBc495
Net receiver
Unknown type
104 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
106.08 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:50:05 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
424.32 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:49:05 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
1,332.6 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:51:06 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate4 tx
7,375.17 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:48:05 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
353.6 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:52:05 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
764.4 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:47:06 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
530.4 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:53:47 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
176.8 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:54:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
771 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:50:46 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
To: 0x0011A77cF0A806159CcfC8191969d0C83Ec4cD2c
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:50:56 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0048Be011442E0505E268Eb4AbC57c08fA6dA689
Tx: 0x0037004f7c75563232d9e5ba7cf51b1d2b0c1b8bbbe917945015616cfd0f8b85
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:50:46 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x006DC8ce545F1Eb34352370469d0DF400FCf7c02
Tx: 0x003200631544193e90dd6130ef3180257bfea9e419f86576c06f3a48a76d38b5
771 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:50:46 P.M.
From: 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
To: 0x0011A77cF0A806159CcfC8191969d0C83Ec4cD2c
Tx: 0x005d00741e8d5bbde37f3103d147bdc4fefd9d8746fb7721bbc1e8f000952847
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:50:46 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0035e20bE86e2682b16c586B09af1B9f200Fa957
Tx: 0x0073002add75690963cd5d32bb8b7fb0578a85ddd57e37f8348db0a2579bbaff
104 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:50:11 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00224d9a5edDfB8c87b2d1CA9C1C20EDb7c2B0cC
Tx: 0x00500073f596baabb9771a3903f42c108017398032d12738aa57f183cc5bf9a4
104 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:50:11 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0005faa70693d30192b9021Fe8f4a7830BBBc495
Tx: 0x000e0022efa2e85b7ec0dfd503c830247eede1e125474e9c0c61af4e3800c994