Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 7:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 7:27:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 7:28:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 620.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
176.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 177 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 7:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
530.4 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
90.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000b41A0756a3A1e94D68A2c0b28F3c8a13faC62
Net receiver
Unknown type
90.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00217e4a38737416822a154700b5B0465bEEC67c
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00161Efee747b85Dc68C6c76FF76D709E288CC52
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
176.8 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:27:09 P.M.
-1 min
7 tx
580.32 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:26:05 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
620.8 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:28:06 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
219.4 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:25:05 P.M.
+2 min
10 tx
1,402.44 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:29:05 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
217.98 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:24:05 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate9 tx
10,544.69 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:23:20 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
387.4 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:31:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
90.4 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:27:22 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000b41A0756a3A1e94D68A2c0b28F3c8a13faC62
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:27:34 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00217e4a38737416822a154700b5B0465bEEC67c
Tx: 0x00380048400cc682fc591c798bcf322e5fb97a7f95b34c851549489f02b828f3
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:27:34 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00161Efee747b85Dc68C6c76FF76D709E288CC52
Tx: 0x0044002413f23c97be5a95a354ddcb8950bbd741c64018c24582ba3865113207
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:27:22 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00574F7B933BC20bA3b2855eDd679F345604Ce17
Tx: 0x000c006808b1f72b325c05b74f7c4b4ee551391f69547ae183d883bd3cdb966f
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:27:22 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0077dcB3A8f1Df45591749A1149BC88EA16e9535
Tx: 0x007500490fc94fb71f17e60463c0f4a13e029959496b05063ded0ac61be0cbf0
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:27:22 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x000F3b2B9c743B938e747A5F7BDf1a2fE07Fd4Fd
Tx: 0x007b0009781cd38ac4b0e013f614c3643eecefd01484dce78dbb715c5d2fed52
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:27:22 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0010571672d6cC15874757F02421cCa023dA6f63
Tx: 0x003c0034023cb083db4f74691279e8b59879d5aed4ece1d417039ff57dd9ac75
90.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:27:22 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000b41A0756a3A1e94D68A2c0b28F3c8a13faC62
Tx: 0x0068004d90e56c06169c7ef8cfebac3fb9321ca2da9a3153bf843c253e766d77