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Spike bucket

07/20/2026, 7:26:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/20/2026, 7:26:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 7:27:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
91% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 526.24
Unexplained QUAI: 54.08
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 17% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
2.6x previous minute
3.3x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
6
85.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
580.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x00429d273f9A1Acb0ca1F22926ce4a591F5CDF97.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 580 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x00429d273f9A1Acb0ca1F22926ce4a591F5CDF97.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 7:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
526.24 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x00429d273f9A1Acb0ca1F22926ce4a591F5CDF97
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000D64fdBcCbbe72DB6944653982f4E6974D1ce1
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008cb18824Edd9ef9603D7Ec5E4c9D2FdDC1488
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001580c0f97C6A559C83edFEF05Ae7EbD7707148
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 7. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

88.4 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:26:38 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00429d273f9A1Acb0ca1F22926ce4a591F5CDF97

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:26:38 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00429d273f9A1Acb0ca1F22926ce4a591F5CDF97
Tx: 0x0040006d4542d57f5dc3e3d05629785fa0ffda93bb65db618f7a12a71b8c546b
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:26:21 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x000D64fdBcCbbe72DB6944653982f4E6974D1ce1
Tx: 0x0046001c81b9b3d37896119bd74ad37e1f87125dd4d1396e97d9cbe41deadd82
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0008cb18824Edd9ef9603D7Ec5E4c9D2FdDC1488
Tx: 0x005300589dfe986f3b852d368345921e7dadd1049f3463721cfe6c565810817d
84.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:26:01 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0077EEe08d2a5A90718955Fc25b2ac3B5167EF52
Tx: 0x00310071912dcab5a1bfcb91c169081ff6b4aad22e12392db689f9dc0dcd8a67
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:26:01 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x001580c0f97C6A559C83edFEF05Ae7EbD7707148
Tx: 0x003e0065c77196fa7fa0dd17c8f7312b0e23fafed16a79a28041882074eee5b4
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 7:26:01 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00588a511DAD4C460ba89c8f612aDA56497F9533
Tx: 0x004b0008ab78a9261ae495133ed17fb0ba0edca5a8af7dfc2175bef13300c0fc