Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 6:58:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 6:58:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 6:59:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 212.16
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
212.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x004334b833b459F1776f77B71f219891d0AE64B5.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 212 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x004334b833b459F1776f77B71f219891d0AE64B5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 6:58:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
212.16 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004334b833b459F1776f77B71f219891d0AE64B5
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0031600ED0801741a48DbA5F07806C0De859b205
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b1De6c121e60461396147b77DB96DB844a9f6
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004ddAB3f4C016B8B9A163F894DBDC5a76954ca5
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
212.16 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:58:05 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
1,043.12 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:57:11 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
212.16 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:59:05 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
530.4 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:56:05 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
106.08 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:00:05 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
1,060.8 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:55:05 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
212.99 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 7:01:05 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate9 tx
1,635.4 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:54:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
53.04 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:58:20 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x004334b833b459F1776f77B71f219891d0AE64B5
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:58:20 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x004334b833b459F1776f77B71f219891d0AE64B5
Tx: 0x00460058a663f73d0ac2cca148207d4027e6ba5cebd62e6a7b573c74cf63d738
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:58:20 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0031600ED0801741a48DbA5F07806C0De859b205
Tx: 0x002d000ce34e868faa95fb7137bf5b0105224eb3cd4d2d5216ce0d33ce5d3675
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:58:05 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x002b1De6c121e60461396147b77DB96DB844a9f6
Tx: 0x003000270a8a25c5bcd445afde01a7b4ac1ceda18ec605cc690a1d48c348b596
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:58:05 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x004ddAB3f4C016B8B9A163F894DBDC5a76954ca5
Tx: 0x007e0063981ee0a2e1e72a66f5dce443e2fbfe176cc1b7190383eddde5edb4ac