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Spike bucket

07/20/2026, 6:54:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/20/2026, 6:54:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 6:55:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
76% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,246.96
Unexplained QUAI: 388.44
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
4.4x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
7
77.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
1,635.4 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x00134fA6453a712Ef7a38F2EEfF5C99E57c42681.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 1635 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x00134fA6453a712Ef7a38F2EEfF5C99E57c42681.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowPartial source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 6:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (24% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
1,246.96 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x00134fA6453a712Ef7a38F2EEfF5C99E57c42681
Net receiver
Unknown type
182 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004715BCA01AB96Da0704cD64d22c51BC034C2Db
Net receiver
Unknown type
180.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005CE2F5d701C0b7480A5E09184fa532052dFA7f
Net receiver
Unknown type
176.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001B1CCB631b9D05d654d5D524843c9FF8de1d17
Net receiver
Unknown type
176.8 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

7 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 9. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

182 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:54:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00134fA6453a712Ef7a38F2EEfF5C99E57c42681

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
176.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:54:50 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x005CE2F5d701C0b7480A5E09184fa532052dFA7f
Tx: 0x0062002fe19e80e33a82581cd650ef9b0447843530462b8dca374bb02c875d58
176.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:54:35 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x001B1CCB631b9D05d654d5D524843c9FF8de1d17
Tx: 0x00550072fbe0a2f7635fb8af3d41f2eaba26540a4ba45babdaad37b8368ff3c6
176.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:54:35 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x005F002f59D129c33e5465412e25627eD8e2Ea87
Tx: 0x004f005cff8f9bfa76465efdd1c129577b976babd8feb50fa1c785f123888844
176.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:54:35 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00200e4eB7454EE75f458e8b8Fd1D860F8c7d191
Tx: 0x00040003be9fc990e21c303a0c5a7acfc229ec61986167b55fe8958c6f509f5c
182 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:54:01 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00134fA6453a712Ef7a38F2EEfF5C99E57c42681
Tx: 0x002900384f999a0bcfde52935d9339c8ee2e5d9dae8869f5ec122454d242ce21
180.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:54:01 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x004715BCA01AB96Da0704cD64d22c51BC034C2Db
Tx: 0x0076006437a3a1288fbc15acde2a40d9e845f011f58c998ae1fcfd8cbac54678
176.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:54:01 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x002F8E3e1171Ac06F233E96143779A1586e7af1C
Tx: 0x003300154543945f609d2020e568965598c426d48820fe8a46cc4e2fcb3af2b5