Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 6:32:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 6:32:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 6:33:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
52% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,268.24
Unexplained QUAI: 2,109.58
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
4
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
4,377.82 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x002ED98FCef7B9fd2dA99ead7D55c80f2808fBc0.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 4378 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x002ED98FCef7B9fd2dA99ead7D55c80f2808fBc0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 6:32:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (48% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (52%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
2,268.24 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x002ED98FCef7B9fd2dA99ead7D55c80f2808fBc0
Net receiver
Unknown type
583.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007974D1D51302ac2496d30F22dA6944F33003BA
Net receiver
Unknown type
561.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041C2951a908a3A0339BD9416291c8C2cc7181E
Net receiver
Unknown type
561.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00645a2113d37bE17A9a075b80aaf7d0Cf194798
Net receiver
Unknown type
561.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
4,377.82 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:32:05 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:31:08 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
2,812.43 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:33:05 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate1 tx
9,999.22 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:30:05 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
2,668.64 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:34:05 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:29:05 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1,060.8 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:35:05 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:28:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
583.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:32:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x002ED98FCef7B9fd2dA99ead7D55c80f2808fBc0
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
561.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:32:40 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x007974D1D51302ac2496d30F22dA6944F33003BA
Tx: 0x0045005e8fe9d118739fb39b06c8ac2f72ade68d83b8451448551eaa18fdd87f
561.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:32:40 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0041C2951a908a3A0339BD9416291c8C2cc7181E
Tx: 0x006500746e29ad3e68f12bfacff07e3b6d38e38e7a01a1f7d8c109f77c9894bd
583.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:32:09 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x002ED98FCef7B9fd2dA99ead7D55c80f2808fBc0
Tx: 0x0062003ac310c357532955094c8e94df82411c8b7aa7ea26e8f280750c339a22
561.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:32:09 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x00645a2113d37bE17A9a075b80aaf7d0Cf194798
Tx: 0x0068002da878385d9506fcfa3ba8314c423aec5bad1387081b5782926b65fef8