Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 6:17:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 6:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,929.64
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,859.91 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
279.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
150.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0006B816B358B40b4841917693EB5A37f0175ddB
Net sender
Unknown type
108.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,859.91 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:16:50 P.M.
-1 min
15 tx
1,859.26 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:15:50 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:17:50 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
8,796 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:14:50 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate8 tx
20,929.64 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:18:50 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
3,488.45 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:13:50 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
694.71 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:19:50 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
662.52 QUAI • 61 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:12:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.97 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:17:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
69.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:17:50 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362
Tx: 0x0064007525bd8f5904b2aedf576973b0e56fbf894a55c4333affa6b8977200f4
107.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:17:50 P.M.
From: 0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0048004bcd36a9a19758c1c026ba7e3af047ca0faa8f3b9e5e06cc471515b638
279.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:17:50 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0064004201f001c817b18bc689701e60c4bc9eebf1ac36189bb952adc9adda60
107.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:17:50 P.M.
From: 0x00055A693cBA1493A9D058C12ad7186f25BB1e19
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001300355a0cdc1143f1db906ebb438b6b678746431fa10a41fd81eea87757ac
150.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:17:50 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00590004fa35a13d562e6cfe7609eb7377eb028f673a6cca8e1dacfd638271db
107.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:17:50 P.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0003001e20e3947d0fd4f279d9823faf5bc943769a88903a73bf1ad703fe0a70
108.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:17:50 P.M.
From: 0x0006B816B358B40b4841917693EB5A37f0175ddB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00360026044daa1bb8cc9607f96f440025da89cb0a9c42dde61b0d2583100625
19,998.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:17:50 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e004a97a7369b669c13a7f56281d52499d57f5c240352abb68b28cec001e1
