Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 6:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 6:08:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,271.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
45x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
11,177.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x003b6d4D745870077A048311B88E0e4ea1383aC7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 11177 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x003b6d4D745870077A048311B88E0e4ea1383aC7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 6:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
16,003.26 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x003b6d4D745870077A048311B88E0e4ea1383aC7
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,802.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c98D5046343cAe9f30Cc317DDe02AdD52AAB8
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,094.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
268.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Net receiver
Unknown type
268.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
20,158.34 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:07:50 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
249.6 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:06:50 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
11,177.09 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:08:50 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
4,513.92 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:05:50 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
18,753.02 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:09:50 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
217.14 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:04:50 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
9,658.55 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:10:50 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
36.19 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:03:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,802.48 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:08:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x003b6d4D745870077A048311B88E0e4ea1383aC7
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
5,094.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:08:49 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x004c98D5046343cAe9f30Cc317DDe02AdD52AAB8
Tx: 0x0010001d51835d4059a5d875f4694c17fd190841f302d77d4b254dd3243db24f
268.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:08:41 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x0008004f8157393142cdc2e653418dbc876da5c8a589eeca7ff8fe22efb99973
10,802.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:08:41 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x003b6d4D745870077A048311B88E0e4ea1383aC7
Tx: 0x004c0003a37ed30d3098143de9617bb19526cc3adcc8689ff202904d05985477
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:08:24 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x004b72833FD536367Bf80C4d60222897b3235912
Tx: 0x00410019ae72bd0919be12f2320cde8fc2fd233fdb47e2ff538a91720699ac4e
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:08:24 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x000D304f7FF7F51a118eeb44263f9B2dB89339Dc
Tx: 0x003b00714fc1a7c349afec4708d6fb8f703654f14239c272993f7a932c4b9511