Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 6:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 6:07:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 6:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,158.34
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
4.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
20,158.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20158 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 6:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
159.12 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001CF2858E33fefe93C3Da704D926eB68F64D9C4
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000C104e86f55b2ab438BC4C22F4B221dE7cC522
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
249.6 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:06:50 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
4,513.92 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:05:50 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,158.34 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:07:50 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
217.14 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:04:50 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
11,177.09 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:08:50 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
36.19 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:03:50 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
18,753.02 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:09:50 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:02:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.22 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:07:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
19,999.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:07:44 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x002d00592b1f8539e30261a4ac1638897a4cf9f6c99d77083b5c451a63035e19
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:07:44 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x001CF2858E33fefe93C3Da704D926eB68F64D9C4
Tx: 0x003e000a21da09adfc1065d8e51acce455756b7e0e2a7884d5012a17bb6ede98
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:07:24 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x000C104e86f55b2ab438BC4C22F4B221dE7cC522
Tx: 0x0079006bfb4301b98c00e8783f27dbf33857656ec856353eed68b30996b7f4a6
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 6:07:24 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0043Fb1AF5C409409E06be3199b11a7e58299D3c
Tx: 0x00770005a8ced368fa466a3157679da4dadd3b813f7021929f794f3c719b48b3