Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 5:59:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 5:59:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 6:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 72.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
36.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x0049760f5002FB08f6C15489Df3985E771Db647F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 36 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558 • 0x0049760f5002FB08f6C15489Df3985E771Db647F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 5:59:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
Net sender
Unknown type
72.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0049760f5002FB08f6C15489Df3985E771Db647F
Net receiver
Unknown type
36.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005F50dD2332f853204a07ec423846AA166331E3
Net receiver
Unknown type
36.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
108.57 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:58:50 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
144.76 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:57:50 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
36.19 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:59:50 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
108.57 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:56:50 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate6 tx
217.14 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:00:50 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
80.6 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:55:50 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
108.57 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 6:01:50 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
54.6 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:54:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
36.19 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:59:52 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0049760f5002FB08f6C15489Df3985E771Db647F
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
36.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:59:52 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x0049760f5002FB08f6C15489Df3985E771Db647F
Tx: 0x0053006ba1b9662e6f593ce1b5b19a4e7193fd1c139e7232d71656a372e77cbd
36.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:59:29 P.M.
From: 0x0011181204145F151d3AA70c9522A42Ff5E93558
To: 0x005F50dD2332f853204a07ec423846AA166331E3
Tx: 0x005b007f9846304ae5c0b1ae4de5a48606934617d0ecde731c5451c406bae311