Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 5:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 5:22:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 5:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,868.85
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1098x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
5,307.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004c5eA4665Ebf4eB16aD69cF915DE9E8ebffE51.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5308 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004c5eA4665Ebf4eB16aD69cF915DE9E8ebffE51.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 5:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
10,618.1 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004c5eA4665Ebf4eB16aD69cF915DE9E8ebffE51
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,310.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
5,307.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
249.75 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
135.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 249.75 QUAI
From exchange: 5,307.56 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,999.21 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:21:46 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
4.83 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:20:46 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
5,307.56 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:22:46 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:19:46 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
5,561.29 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:23:46 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:18:46 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:24:46 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
28,254.24 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 5:25:46 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,310.54 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:22:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x004c5eA4665Ebf4eB16aD69cF915DE9E8ebffE51
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
114.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:22:48 P.M.
From: 0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006500502811abd70ecdf56665e41846db0146b9807066d22dd586d773c6b7fe
135.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:22:48 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00480003b28eb8a25fb2d3320fa11b912ff192780026811267fc7539b3b7fe74
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:22:48 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x004449090A972b43c598044e98a83382D29118a6
Tx: 0x007f0039991ce97732b3646f385b762d928b9dca9a5671815397de08811d098f
5,310.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:22:48 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x004c5eA4665Ebf4eB16aD69cF915DE9E8ebffE51
Tx: 0x0006001bee5b9c48e6efa939cae87f93e39c179e989d97cb80db9f999a0843a5
5,307.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 5:22:13 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x005a003807ee254c3c9561d0eb6b2f8e020cfeab985561f91d6776fa3a61f274