Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 4:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 4:27:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 4:28:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40,053.64
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
40,053.64 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004c5eA4665Ebf4eB16aD69cF915DE9E8ebffE51.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 40054 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004c5eA4665Ebf4eB16aD69cF915DE9E8ebffE51.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 4:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
20,054.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c5eA4665Ebf4eB16aD69cF915DE9E8ebffE51
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,054.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:26:51 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:25:51 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
40,053.64 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:27:51 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:24:51 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:28:51 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:23:51 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
15.19 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:29:51 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:22:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
20,054.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:27:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x004c5eA4665Ebf4eB16aD69cF915DE9E8ebffE51
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
20,054.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:27:01 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x004c5eA4665Ebf4eB16aD69cF915DE9E8ebffE51
Tx: 0x0013004b468cfa6421df65535aef742915cac6e5ecdef164c3684df636755df1
19,999.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:27:01 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00390056fa16879c208f8d1fe9e21a1c88deae3a6e729690e1d273770836592b