Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 4:15:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 4:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,724.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
13x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
28
Observable rows
28
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
21,724.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 21725 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 28 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 28 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,725.37 QUAI across 27 visible rows
0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
470.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net receiver
Unknown type
423.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:14:51 P.M.
-1 min
51 tx
1,685.46 QUAI • 61 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:13:52 P.M.
+1 min
28 tx
21,724.57 QUAI • 35 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:15:52 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:12:51 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
86.46 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:16:51 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:11:51 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:17:51 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
4,000,000 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 4:10:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.2 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
28 transactions
5.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004e7d2DF5EB2b94e05f7b778ca08a7FedbC425A
Tx: 0x0017005f0891ce1796ac3af3b09525c940ef68ad06449e04e4857ae89f314fd4
423.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Tx: 0x00160001e85f48d7fd4ef38eb7caca6d560c83ebf8ea5c26438a42529b241653
6.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000f5c2d2500087d3e26357402170042be0367f5
Tx: 0x00200060bbd29c0bbd965e318d619873245beba6597321e1aced04900b2f2692
6.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00515189167FA8989c7E7930A3F2E464Db049fFc
Tx: 0x007b006ef27b1b2ea5f15f38086141e648f88ec57dd294b6250c4bcde2a8fff0
38.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Tx: 0x00700057d75cc8d9d162f91ff206870cbbe6fc2f96d27b72ee412d7058d0e7f5
6.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x0014005ce892802c76effb55bb0ee16b2bd5ffeab1471d73e4c9860a078d88b6
9.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x007e006697193617d69945e3dffe16bdc9d7ca6571494f7c0416066512e701ee
8.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00307b9d6B5323F0EEdECa238BC1723cc3CE08D3
Tx: 0x006f0022db9ea704cc26ae41f84a3b011cd6ccb8925dd7f2448952567267bae4
7.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000a223e74Bcd7059A53b02Fa13EDAdF34549310
Tx: 0x000e003069591fcc0a52fc9225604e1f0c453524c92e7bec342383df54616ab5
10.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Tx: 0x006a00622ff4a49b2fb7ec15ec46e5ce505391752240dd243e394e6082ef6804
101.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0014ba1157C5C82Bffb8BCA967883bD0669d304C
Tx: 0x00410053f5bb34f47ea4bbb505a3c26259924f425b355233d9b05c8af4cc7a49
470.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Tx: 0x0011001447f477fdf92513496bf0094ea55462273187ec46b829bb39255fbf02
4.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007927F508440032Db37A5f7c1e653d9917B429B
Tx: 0x004000111eb1c147dbd42eaf855db9dab55fddfa2fc3b70e8fc098432a63f063
5.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x003a006714ca629527174f40e42fac54e1b766988cebc8a3726f86a447b5e5fe
6.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00392645687Fd7a91f611d04FdA8b1E237263e72
Tx: 0x004300475b3b0a00cca265203400aeb2ba71965a9407571a750d9b326acfa85a
20.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Tx: 0x004a0044ea55c49f14662189514753e40942fad00d4638b77b2b62cee53eb9bf
7.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006A8e4dbE2F2B780e21C8F03daD9253ca9735c1
Tx: 0x006f0004716504db1af9521cda3008a9fbd245f91a8d7233673210b48bc95210
21.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x004f006394bdb4dee035154bc6c267130d5522c532750f4881fb9d1126bc6102
177.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x000500137cea4eed4d257edf1619d5afec21cf1c7842eb54b633efb37c1989bb
9.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Tx: 0x00270067eb36b99940172e4640334409edb7ca1a70dafe5eababa6834e1b533a
4.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002903dF619f76DF8f0c21B0EBC73725D0555C11
Tx: 0x001a002272ec7415bc5cd846ed9c98e1f076c07dbec8c3f1ebc5e28401a3e132
8.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x001a005c80b3eb78b5d6aea3073414a2ec92c1047618531fe293b52d55ca43f3
145.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x00690020205f376afcff8d7b258310ef952b2e9ec50f6c64c8acdc23c9e7a53b
5.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006F95Ab5693D0d02287f10eeDb1E0F1D5C66320
Tx: 0x00140042f12d0c339760ccb40c7a32b8b10fa2beaa9a13c04c54588ca8fc3c8b
189.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x007a002a34267a5a9a6e8c082a53c8681f0b75247c9685d48d2931196730e16f
5.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Tx: 0x007300428b6ec785a64b2ef89285b0a6d3ab58a84b08c1ccba06427302762283
18.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x004e006c3681382907eda86953010d0ec131e8f53b6b124deae55129ae342d11
19,999.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 4:15:11 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0058004c65005004f665e842c38b5dad444c858329ba96cbcc6f325e1e663c03