Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 3:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 3:48:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 3:49:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00656C1de71BA39D4E55a63eb66FB42c5E4F042E • 0x005132114c10fC74C21014157B35311d847d8a96.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00656C1de71BA39D4E55a63eb66FB42c5E4F042E • 0x005132114c10fC74C21014157B35311d847d8a96.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 3:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00656C1de71BA39D4E55a63eb66FB42c5E4F042E
Net sender
Unknown type
25.25 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005132114c10fC74C21014157B35311d847d8a96
Net receiver
Unknown type
25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:47:51 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:46:51 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:48:51 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:45:51 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
25.25 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:49:52 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:44:51 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
25 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:50:51 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
1,103.44 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:43:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
25 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:48:53 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00656C1de71BA39D4E55a63eb66FB42c5E4F042E
To: 0x005132114c10fC74C21014157B35311d847d8a96
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:48:53 P.M.
From: 0x00656C1de71BA39D4E55a63eb66FB42c5E4F042E
To: 0x005132114c10fC74C21014157B35311d847d8a96
Tx: 0x00130005dd9ff5c59b4069769928c70cf75fe77551553a6facbaff5564707ba6
0.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:48:53 P.M.
From: 0x00656C1de71BA39D4E55a63eb66FB42c5E4F042E
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x0009007b0f0edd3e9d69171c7e5d35fc5827ea447d69cde4fd2e156a4640d01f