Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 3:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 3:33:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 3:34:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,711.27
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
1,631.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1632 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 3:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,552.54 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,131.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22
Net receiver
Unknown type
219.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001474fB70709F443d56310A642287aad6BDC72
Net receiver
Unknown type
201.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
158.73 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
2 repeated flows • 158.73 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,999.19 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:32:52 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:31:51 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
1,631.9 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:33:51 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
7.99 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:30:51 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
79.37 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:34:51 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
29.65 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:29:51 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
21,130.21 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:35:51 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:28:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,131.52 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:33:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
79.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:33:57 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x004600474409f8fa316e23b6fd9c2f6b302e30fd900254f024cbcdb9db276745
1,131.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:33:23 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Tx: 0x0043004b0229f19ca78bc61354960fcc9a4add8c854777216963777434e74e4f
201.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:33:23 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0001474fB70709F443d56310A642287aad6BDC72
Tx: 0x006b0036faf1ab1358b88d74e8111c424084c1fd070736ba5e7dd950cf6d5f19
219.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:33:23 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22
Tx: 0x006a005a84b0dcbfde9be89401e139f777f544a4a03d750dff640296429f1c80
79.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:33:23 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x003d0005a7280c170e900bff7e3b1301d5ebe45cb0a893176db8377612978c77