Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 3:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 3:16:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 3:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 342.74
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
159.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 159 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 3:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
239.49 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Net receiver
Unknown type
239.49 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
Net sender
Unknown type
103.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
103.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
3 repeated flows • 239.49 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 103.24 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,816.97 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:15:51 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
160.69 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:14:51 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
159.32 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:16:51 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
1,403.23 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:13:51 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
183.41 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:17:51 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate51 tx
3,400.52 QUAI • 65 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:12:52 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:18:51 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:11:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
103.24 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:16:56 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
103.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:16:56 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00210001597f7a461073af873cd816aee693b2c94097d8fb90bdc3a50ab17ee6
80.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:16:56 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x001d0025d521b42d20b2d36251e4d3a1f1e9247f714deaffe8a40cdab8f013b4
79.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:16:20 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x005c001da42d8c201500ea888bb3b5017cd9c36272826738e400b62a28458c7c
79.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:16:20 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x0020006c0cfdf71bebc99a09a2562798500eff77b45e43f50a08dc6931a193d2