Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 3:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 3:00:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 3:01:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 153.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
153.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x004FEc8f582DE51502C3c066F6C1bf55FE1bC52F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 153 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x004FEc8f582DE51502C3c066F6C1bf55FE1bC52F.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x004FEc8f582DE51502C3c066F6C1bf55FE1bC52F (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 3:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
153.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004FEc8f582DE51502C3c066F6C1bf55FE1bC52F
Net receiver
Unknown type
153.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x004FEc8f582DE51502C3c066F6C1bf55FE1bC52F
2 repeated flows • 153.38 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
79.49 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:59:51 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:58:52 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
153.38 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:00:51 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
74.85 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:57:51 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
19,999.19 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:01:51 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:56:51 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,999.19 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 3:02:51 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
789.33 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:55:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
79.49 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:00:35 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x004FEc8f582DE51502C3c066F6C1bf55FE1bC52F
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
73.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:00:49 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x004FEc8f582DE51502C3c066F6C1bf55FE1bC52F
Tx: 0x000c006c7ca374f31efb97a59edd40e4fa0514665253ea18d9652d7bc75a8170
79.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 3:00:35 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x004FEc8f582DE51502C3c066F6C1bf55FE1bC52F
Tx: 0x0031006cc59d66aab7e497ef7a8878fe59b1911586ca074d37dbe5a527c19ff8