Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 2:36:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 2:36:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 2:37:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 150.98
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
150.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0055eF533349E4727e0269eF18C4f5A139282227.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 151 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0055eF533349E4727e0269eF18C4f5A139282227.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0055eF533349E4727e0269eF18C4f5A139282227 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 2:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
150.98 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0055eF533349E4727e0269eF18C4f5A139282227
Net receiver
Unknown type
150.98 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0055eF533349E4727e0269eF18C4f5A139282227
2 repeated flows • 150.98 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
150.94 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:36:12 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
3,861.43 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:35:12 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
226.82 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:37:12 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2,400 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:34:12 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
150.79 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:38:12 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:33:12 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
301.02 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:39:12 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
80.12 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 2:39:29 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
75.6 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:36:48 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0055eF533349E4727e0269eF18C4f5A139282227
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
75.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:36:48 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0055eF533349E4727e0269eF18C4f5A139282227
Tx: 0x0019001768d579218776f8d3437cf2324d0031759488062daa8fa686c2f8f9f5
75.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 2:36:33 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0055eF533349E4727e0269eF18C4f5A139282227
Tx: 0x001400627e54d1a95733cf0a72e26881c4cc998c742717d6422469a239b2156f