Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 12:55:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 12:55:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 12:56:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 31,339.98
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 231.99
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
2,144.41 QUAI
231.99 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2144 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 12:55:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
11,340.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,340.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
231.99 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2,144.41 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:55:05 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
40,471.08 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:54:05 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
31,339.98 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:56:06 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
40,471.37 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:53:06 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:57:05 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:52:05 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
36,100.19 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:58:05 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:51:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:55:42 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
19,999.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:55:42 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x001d0000b609ad4157633c4462ad17c6921ced36404a3e98bffb2a1ebd03cdf8
11,340.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:55:42 P.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Tx: 0x0018004b754c9b3f6e06a2c6b25542552e899da62e1b9795ade3723eb7e425c0
231.99 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:55:16 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x001a004ad938baf934d82bff155d015ef99689753ecb12f6d91a29a709554f23