Spike bucket
07/20/2026, 12:36:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/20/2026, 12:36:00 P.M. to 07/20/2026, 12:37:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 88,159.59
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/20/2026, 12:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
Net sender
Unknown type
50,934.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
50,934.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
37,218.99 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
14,999.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 34,998.54 QUAI
From exchange: 2,220.45 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:36:05 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:35:06 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
88,159.59 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:37:06 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
15,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:34:06 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:38:05 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:33:06 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
60,054.19 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:39:06 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
69,441.14 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/20/2026, 12:32:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
50,934.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:16 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:18 P.M.
From: 0x001FE64b1cF033028914e83cb7FABfAb14D0d3c0
To: 0x0013Dbdcd0293F8Ca10e8434f9d8581A90423E6e
Tx: 0x006d007a4bf8ef2c37ba40861f2a7a43339687d442f3c3589c173780e613cfb2
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:18 P.M.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x005b007f6d67c3b6904d9f043e33d41479e57deff7027c69ec567b9f1418ef19
2,220.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:16 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Tx: 0x00090067da22249bd6e8f5838097be3f94095d65dba2facb3f71cb965711f9c3
19,998.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:16 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b0036e679182fac9adde0090d0e17964edaf3229e53195472077443b78d19
14,999.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:16 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c006f784229809b28f6a27f7e531124d750990f4fa669bbe3208969bde354
50,934.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/20/2026, 12:36:16 P.M.
From: 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0026005dfdbb630396bdbcbfcf03c62a4348c6cafaf2e268722b837f8b7701a3
